First , strategy analyzing : through analyzing the inner and outer environment factors such as history , resources , competence and its strengths and weaknesses , we identified the firm ' s competitive advantages , core competence and long term goal . especially , we compare and arrange the order of civil listing cement enterprises in china through establishing a series of relevant indexes and fuzzy subsets method . we forecast the firm ' s next 5 years manufacture capability by recession analysis 論文分析了企業的內外環境,歸納出企業優劣勢及企業發展的機會和方向,特別通過對企業歷史、資源、能力的分析,總結出企業的戰略目標及核心能力,通過建立相關指標體系及模糊聚類對水泥行業上市公司的競爭地位進行了比較分析與排序,通過二元回歸方法對秦嶺水泥的生產規模進行預測。